Serie A 2024-2025: Como vs Genoa Prediction - 27 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Como

Home Team
81%
VS

Genoa

Away Team
8%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Como W W W D L

  • Last Match: W vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)

Genoa L D W L W

  • Last Match: L vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.41
# Clean Sheets: 2

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.72
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Como and Genoa is predicted to lean heavily in favor of the home side. With a staggering 81.0% probability, Como is expected to emerge victorious in this encounter. Additionally, the match is anticipated to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 51.0% likelihood of such an outcome. Currently, Como and Genoa are neck and neck in the Serie A standings, occupying the 12th and 13th positions, respectively, both with 39 points.

Match Analysis

Como enters this match riding a wave of momentum, having secured three consecutive victories in their last fixtures. They demonstrated a robust defense with clean sheets against Lecce and Torino while showcasing their attacking prowess with a decisive 3-1 victory over Monza. This recent form is reflected in their advanced metrics, with Como averaging 1.2 goals per match and maintaining two clean sheets in their last five games. However, their expected goals conceded indicate some defensive vulnerabilities, which Genoa might aim to exploit. Genoa, on the other hand, has shown mixed results in their recent outings. Despite a hard-fought win against Udinese, they managed only a draw against Verona and suffered a home defeat to Lazio. Their attack has struggled to find the net consistently, averaging just 0.4 goals per game over their last five matches. While their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.8 goals on average, they will need to bolster their offensive efforts to challenge Como's defense effectively.

Final Prediction

The prediction strongly favors Como due to their current winning streak and superior goal-scoring form. Their recent performances have showcased a balanced attack and defense, giving them a clear edge over Genoa. A key factor to watch in this match will be Como's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, which could be the deciding factor in securing the predicted victory.

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