Serie A 2025-2026: Como vs Milan Prediction
Como
Home Team
34%
VS
Milan
Away Team
43%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 43 |
| 2 | Milan | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 40 |
| 3 | Napoli | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
| 5 | Roma | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Como | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 31 |
| 8 | Lazio | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Genoa | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 17 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 | Verona | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 13 |
| 20 | Pisa | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Como
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.05
# Clean Sheets:
3
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.38
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Como and Milan is forecasted to be a tightly contested affair, with Milan having a slightly higher probability of victory at 43.0%. Como, while not far behind, carries a 34.0% chance of winning, and the possibility of a draw stands at 24.0%. Currently, Milan occupies the 2nd position in Serie A, showcasing their status as title contenders, while Como holds a respectable 6th place. The anticipated outcome leans towards a low-scoring encounter, with a 43.0% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
In recent outings, Como has displayed commendable resilience, maintaining an unbeaten run over their last three matches. They secured a home draw against Bologna, followed by an impressive 3-0 away victory over Pisa, and a narrow 1-0 win at home against Udinese. Their defensive solidity is underscored by three clean sheets in the last five matches, with an average of just 0.4 goals conceded, although they have been averaging 1.4 goals scored per game.
Milan, on the other hand, has experienced a series of evenly matched encounters, drawing 1-1 in back-to-back games against Fiorentina and Genoa, before edging out Cagliari with a 1-0 away win. The Rossoneri have demonstrated a balanced approach, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over their last five fixtures. Despite their slight edge in scoring, Milan has only managed two clean sheets in the same period.
Final Prediction
Milan's slight edge in this matchup can be attributed to their stronger standing in the league and their offensive capabilities, having a higher average of goals scored. However, Como's recent defensive form could pose a significant challenge, making this a game to watch for tactical duels and defensive stands. The key factor will be Milan's ability to break through Como's defense while maintaining their own solidity at the back.