Serie A 2025-2026: Como vs Sassuolo Prediction
Como
Home Team
74%
VS
Sassuolo
Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Bologna | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Como | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Juventus | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Lazio | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Udinese | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Pisa | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Genoa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Como
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 5 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.28
# Clean Sheets:
3
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.23
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
As Como prepares to take on Sassuolo, the prediction is tilted heavily in favor of the home side, Como, with a probability of winning at 74.0%. Meanwhile, the probability of Sassuolo emerging victorious is considerably lower at 12.0%, and a draw stands at 14.0%. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% chance, indicating a potentially tight affair. Currently, Como is sitting comfortably in 6th place, while Sassuolo hovers at 9th in the Serie A standings.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown resilience in their recent matches, but Como has been particularly impressive. They come into this fixture after a commanding 5-1 away win against Torino, followed by two goalless draws against Cagliari and Napoli. This suggests a solid defensive setup, as evidenced by their three clean sheets in the last five games. Como's average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded in the same period highlights their efficiency and defensive discipline.
Sassuolo, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results. They secured a 3-0 victory against Atalanta away but faltered at home with a 2-2 draw against Pisa and a 2-1 loss to Genoa. Sassuolo's performance metrics show an average of 1.4 goals scored per game, mirroring Como's attacking output, but their defense has been less consistent, with only one clean sheet in the last five matches.
Final Prediction
Como's formidable home form and recent defensive solidity give them the edge over Sassuolo. The key factor to watch will be Como's ability to maintain their defensive organization against a Sassuolo side that can be unpredictable. With both teams likely to focus on a solid defensive setup, this matchup might not be high-scoring, but Como's consistency could see them through.