Serie A 2025-2026: Como vs Udinese Prediction
Como
Home Team
81%
VS
Udinese
Away Team
8%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Milan | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Roma | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Juventus | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Como | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Lazio | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 24 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Udinese | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 22 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Parma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Como
- Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 5 - 1)
Udinese
- Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 5)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.99
# Clean Sheets:
2
Udinese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.12
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Como and Udinese is heavily tipped in favor of Como, with an 81.0% probability of a home team victory. The likelihood of Udinese pulling off an upset stands at a mere 8.0%, while there's an 11.0% chance of a draw. Both teams, Como and Udinese, are positioned mid-table in Serie A, with Como in 6th and Udinese in 11th place. The match is predicted to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability.
Match Analysis
Como's recent form has been a mixed bag, with one win and two losses in their last three outings. They secured an impressive 3-0 away win against Lecce, showcasing their ability to dominate on the road. However, subsequent defeats to Roma (0-1) and Inter (0-4) highlight some inconsistencies against stronger opponents. Como's advanced metrics are promising, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per game over the last five matches. Their defense has been resilient, achieving two clean sheets during this period.
Udinese, on the other hand, has shown a similar pattern of mixed results. They managed a commendable 1-0 victory over Napoli and a 1-1 draw against Lazio, but suffered a heavy 1-5 loss to Fiorentina. Their attacking output averages 1.0 goals per game, while defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding 2.2 on average in the last five games. Udinese's expected goals statistics suggest they could pose a threat, but their defense remains a concern.
Final Prediction
Como holds the edge in this encounter due to their superior recent performances and home advantage. Their robust defense and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities make them strong contenders for a win. A key factor to watch will be Como's defensive organization, which could stifle Udinese's attacking efforts and secure a crucial victory.