Serie A 2025-2026: Cremonese vs Cagliari Prediction

Cremonese

Home Team
42%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
34%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 13 0 4 38 15 23 39
2 Milan 17 11 5 1 28 13 15 38
3 Napoli 17 12 1 4 26 13 13 37
4 Juventus 18 9 6 3 24 16 8 33
5 Roma 18 11 0 7 20 12 8 33
6 Como 17 8 6 3 23 12 11 30
7 Bologna 17 7 5 5 25 17 8 26
8 Atalanta 18 6 7 5 21 19 2 25
9 Lazio 18 6 6 6 18 14 4 24
10 Sassuolo 18 6 5 7 23 22 1 23
11 Torino 18 6 5 7 20 28 -8 23
12 Udinese 18 6 4 8 18 29 -11 22
13 Cremonese 18 5 6 7 18 21 -3 21
14 Parma 17 4 6 7 12 19 -7 18
15 Cagliari 18 4 6 8 19 25 -6 18
16 Lecce 17 4 5 8 12 23 -11 17
17 Genoa 18 3 6 9 18 28 -10 15
18 Verona 17 2 6 9 13 28 -15 12
19 Fiorentina 18 2 6 10 18 28 -10 12
20 Pisa 18 1 9 8 13 25 -12 12

Recent Trends

Cremonese ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)

Cagliari ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cremonese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.04
# Clean Sheets: 2

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.74
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cremonese and Cagliari is predicted to favor the home side, Cremonese, with a 42.0% chance of securing the victory. Meanwhile, Cagliari carries a 34.0% likelihood of winning, and there's a 24.0% probability of the match ending in a draw. Positioned at 13th in Serie A, Cremonese will hope to leverage their home advantage against 15th-placed Cagliari. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability that the total goals scored will fall below this threshold.

Match Analysis

Cremonese's recent form shows a mixed bag of results. They drew against Lazio in their last match, securing a clean sheet, but suffered losses to both Fiorentina and Napoli without scoring. Their defense appears to be a concern, conceding an average of 1.6 goals in the last five games. However, with two clean sheets in their recent outings, they have shown moments of defensive resilience. Their expected goals metrics suggest that they are creating and conceding chances at a fairly balanced rate. Cagliari, on the other hand, managed a win against Torino but struggled against strong sides like Milan and settled for a draw against Pisa. They have scored and conceded an average of 0.8 and 1.4 goals respectively over the last five games, indicating a slight struggle to find the back of the net consistently. The expected goals data aligns with this observation, highlighting challenges in both creating and preventing chances. With only one clean sheet in recent matches, their defense might be tested by Cremonese's attacking efforts.

Final Prediction

Cremonese may have the edge in this encounter, primarily due to their slightly better defensive record and home advantage. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Cremonese can capitalize on Cagliari's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own defensive discipline. Fans can expect a closely contested match with the potential for a low-scoring affair.