Serie A 2025-2026: Cremonese vs Napoli Prediction
Cremonese
Home Team
9%
VS
Napoli
Away Team
81%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Cremonese
- Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 3)
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Cremonese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.66
# Clean Sheets:
2
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.41
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash sees Napoli as the predicted winner with an 81.0% probability, while Cremonese holds a mere 9.0% chance of victory. The game is also expected to feature under 2.5 goals with a 47.0% probability. Napoli, currently third in the league, will be visiting 11th-placed Cremonese, aiming to solidify their position in the top four.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown varying forms in their recent matches. Cremonese's last three games have been a mixed bag, with a win against Lecce, a draw against Lazio, and a loss to Torino. Despite a solid defensive performance against Lazio, they have struggled to find consistency in scoring, averaging 1.2 goals in their last five outings. Their defensive rigidity has been evident, maintaining two clean sheets in recent matches.
On the other hand, Napoli's form has been slightly inconsistent but promising. After a narrow loss to Udinese, they bounced back by defeating Juventus and Roma. Although their goal-scoring average of 0.4 over the last five games is modest, the team has shown resilience in key matches, particularly against top-tier opponents. Napoli’s defensive unit has been relatively robust, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game and keeping one clean sheet in their last five matches.
Final Prediction
Napoli's favorable probability of winning is largely due to their superior position in the league and their ability to perform against stronger teams. Their defensive solidity coupled with occasional attacking bursts provides a significant edge over Cremonese. A key factor to watch will be Napoli’s ability to break through Cremonese's defense, which has shown capability in recent clean sheets.