Serie A 2025-2026: Cremonese vs Roma Prediction
Cremonese
Home Team
9%
VS
Roma
Away Team
82%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Cremonese
- Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
Roma
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Cremonese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.48
# Clean Sheets:
1
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.52
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.43
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Cremonese and Roma heavily favors the away team, with an 82.0% probability of Roma clinching victory. In contrast, Cremonese's chances stand at a mere 9.0%. The game is also expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% likelihood of such an outcome. Currently, Roma is in a strong position, sitting second in the league table with 24 points, while Cremonese finds themselves in 11th place with 14 points.
Match Analysis
Cremonese's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent. Having lost to Pisa and Juventus, they managed a solid victory against Genoa with a 2-0 scoreline. Their performance metrics indicate an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game in their last five matches, with a slight underperformance in expected goals compared to actual goals scored. These statistics suggest a team that can be defensively vulnerable but has shown glimpses of offensive potential.
On the other hand, Roma, despite a recent loss to Milan, has shown resilience with wins over Udinese and Parma. Their defensive solidity is notable, with only 0.4 goals conceded on average in their last five outings, complemented by two clean sheets. Roma's attack, however, has been relatively modest, with an average of just one goal per match. Their expected goals scored stand at 1.524, indicating potential for more clinical finishing.
Final Prediction
Roma's superior league position and defensive prowess give them a significant edge in this fixture. Their ability to maintain a tight defense, combined with Cremonese's occasional defensive lapses, could prove decisive. A key factor to watch during the game will be Roma's ability to convert their chances, as their expected goals suggest they could be more prolific in front of goal.