Serie A 2025-2026: Cremonese vs Verona Prediction
Cremonese
Home Team
32%
VS
Verona
Away Team
46%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Milan | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 43 |
| 3 | Napoli | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 40 |
| 4 | Juventus | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
| 5 | Roma | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Como | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 31 |
| 8 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 30 |
| 9 | Lazio | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
| 10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | Parma | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 22 |
| 15 | Genoa | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 19 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 17 | Lecce | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 17 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 | Pisa | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 20 | Verona | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Cremonese
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 5)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
Verona
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Cremonese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.07
# Clean Sheets:
1
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.82
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Cremonese and Verona is predicted to favor the away team, Verona, with a 46.0% probability of winning. Despite being at the bottom of the Serie A standings in 20th position with 13 points, Verona seems to have a slight edge over 13th-placed Cremonese, who have accumulated 22 points. The probability of the match seeing fewer than 2.5 goals is also significant, standing at 55.0%, suggesting a tight contest.
Match Analysis
Cremonese's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with their last three games resulting in a heavy defeat against Juventus, a draw with Cagliari, and a narrow loss to Fiorentina. They have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing just one in their last five outings, while their average goals scored and conceded per game stand at 1.2 and 1.8, respectively. This suggests a vulnerability in defense that could be exploited by Verona.
On the other hand, Verona has been battling their own challenges, with recent matches showing a loss to Bologna, a narrow defeat against Lazio, and a hard-fought draw with Napoli. Their inability to keep any clean sheets in the last five games, coupled with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, highlights their defensive struggles. However, both teams' expected goals metrics are closely matched, indicating a potentially even contest.
Final Prediction
Verona's predicted victory is primarily due to their slightly better recent performances and the statistical edge they have, despite their position at the bottom of the table. A key factor to watch will be Verona's ability to capitalize on Cremonese's defensive lapses, which could be decisive in a game where goals may be at a premium.