Serie A 2025-2026: Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction
Fiorentina
Home Team
7%
VS
Juventus
Away Team
85%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Fiorentina
- Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
Juventus
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Fiorentina
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.82
# Clean Sheets:
0
Juventus
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.09
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Juventus is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming clash against Fiorentina, with a dominant 85.0% probability of winning. In contrast, Fiorentina's chances of winning are a mere 7.0%. The match is also expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 47.0% probability. Currently, Juventus holds the 6th position in the Serie A standings, while Fiorentina languishes at the bottom in 20th place.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Fiorentina has been struggling significantly, managing only a draw against Genoa, and suffering defeats to Lecce and Inter. Their inability to secure a win all season has left them at the foot of the table with just 5 points. Fiorentina's defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last five matches without a single clean sheet. Their attack has been somewhat lackluster, averaging only 1.0 goals per game, although their expected goals suggest they might be underperforming slightly.
Juventus, on the other hand, has shown more consistency, with two wins and a draw in their last three outings. They have defeated Cremonese and Udinese, while managing a goalless draw against Torino. Juventus's solid defensive performances, marked by an average of 1.0 goals conceded per game and one clean sheet in their last five matches, could play a crucial role. Their expected goals metrics also suggest they are performing close to expectations, with an average of 1.368 goals scored.
Final Prediction
Juventus's strong form and defensive solidity give them a clear edge over Fiorentina. Their ability to capitalize on Fiorentina's defensive weaknesses could prove decisive. Keep an eye on Juventus's attacking prowess, as their ability to convert chances efficiently might seal the deal in this encounter.