Serie A 2025-2026: Genoa vs Cremonese Prediction
Genoa
Home Team
84%
VS
Cremonese
Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
47%
No Goal:
53%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Roma | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Milan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Como | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Udinese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Torino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
Cremonese
- Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.42
# Clean Sheets:
1
Cremonese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.52
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Genoa and Cremonese is anticipated to heavily favor the home team, with an 84.0% probability of Genoa securing the victory. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with a 42.0% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals, suggesting a predicted result of under 2.5 goals. Currently, Genoa is languishing at the bottom of the league in 20th place, while Cremonese sits in 11th, putting them in a relatively stronger position.
Match Analysis
Genoa's recent performances have been challenging, as they are yet to secure a win in their last three outings. They faced a narrow defeat away to Torino (1-2) and Napoli (1-2), alongside a goalless draw at home against Parma. Their struggles in front of goal are evident, with an average of 0 goals scored over the last five games, despite a higher expected goal rate of 1.215. Defensively, they have managed just one clean sheet in this period, conceding an average of one goal per game.
On the other hand, Cremonese has shown resilience, drawing twice at home against Atalanta and Udinese with identical 1-1 scorelines, but suffering a heavy 1-4 defeat away to Inter. They have managed to score in each of their last three matches, averaging a goal per game. However, their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game, with a high expected goals against figure of 2.515. This defensive fragility could be a focal point for Genoa to exploit.
Final Prediction
Genoa's predicted edge in this matchup stems from their home advantage and the statistical likelihood of breaking their winless streak against a defensively vulnerable Cremonese. Despite their current standing, Genoa's potential to convert expected goals into actual goals could turn the tide. A key factor to watch will be whether Genoa can capitalize on Cremonese's defensive lapses to secure a much-needed victory.