Serie A 2024-2025: Genoa vs Milan Prediction

Genoa

Home Team
10%
VS

Milan

Away Team
81%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 34 22 8 4 54 25 29 74
2 Inter 34 21 8 5 72 33 39 71
3 Atalanta 34 19 8 7 67 31 36 65
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 20 62
5 Bologna 34 16 13 5 52 37 15 61
6 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 17 60
7 Lazio 34 17 9 8 57 45 12 60
8 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 19 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 15 54
10 Torino 34 10 13 11 38 39 -1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 44 48 -4 42
12 Udinese 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Cagliari 34 8 9 17 35 49 -14 33
15 Verona 34 9 5 20 30 62 -32 32
16 Parma 34 6 14 14 40 53 -13 32
17 Lecce 34 6 9 19 24 56 -32 27
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 27 48 -21 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 27 54 -27 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 25 59 -34 15

Recent Trends

Genoa ❌ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)

Milan ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.00
# Clean Sheets: 2

Milan

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.22
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Milan is predicted to emerge victorious with a substantial 81.0% probability, reflecting their current form and standing in the Serie A table. In contrast, Genoa's chances of winning stand at a mere 10.0%. The likelihood of the match seeing more than 2.5 goals is pegged at 51.0%. Currently, Milan sits in 9th position with 54 points, while Genoa is positioned 13th with 39 points, both with 34 games played so far.

Match Analysis

Genoa has struggled in their recent outings, failing to secure a win in their last three games. They succumbed to losses against Como and Lazio, both without scoring, and managed only a goalless draw against Verona. The team has shown defensive solidity with two clean sheets in their last five matches, but their offense has been lacking, averaging just 1.2 goals scored. On the other hand, Milan's recent form is more impressive, with two wins in their last three games, including a 4-0 victory over Udinese and a 2-0 win against Venezia. Despite a narrow 1-0 loss to Atalanta, Milan has showcased their attacking prowess, averaging 2.2 goals in their recent matches. Their defensive metrics are also commendable, with two clean sheets in their last five games, which could prove pivotal against a goal-shy Genoa.

Final Prediction

Milan's superior recent performances, coupled with their higher scoring ability, provide them with a significant edge over Genoa. A key factor to watch will be Milan's offensive play; if they maintain their current scoring form, they could decisively influence the outcome. Genoa, meanwhile, will need to find a spark in their attack if they are to challenge Milan and avoid sliding further down the table.