Serie A 2025-2026: Genoa vs Pisa Prediction

Genoa

Home Team
63%
VS

Pisa

Away Team
18%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 0 4 35 14 21 36
2 Milan 16 10 5 1 27 13 14 35
3 Napoli 16 11 1 4 24 13 11 34
4 Roma 17 11 0 6 20 11 9 33
5 Juventus 17 9 5 3 23 15 8 32
6 Como 16 7 6 3 22 12 10 27
7 Bologna 16 7 5 4 24 14 10 26
8 Lazio 17 6 6 5 18 12 6 24
9 Sassuolo 17 6 4 7 22 21 1 22
10 Atalanta 17 5 7 5 20 19 1 22
11 Udinese 17 6 4 7 18 28 -10 22
12 Cremonese 17 5 6 6 18 20 -2 21
13 Torino 17 5 5 7 17 28 -11 20
14 Cagliari 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
15 Parma 16 4 5 7 11 18 -7 17
16 Lecce 16 4 4 8 11 22 -11 16
17 Genoa 17 3 5 9 17 27 -10 14
18 Verona 16 2 6 8 13 25 -12 12
19 Pisa 17 1 8 8 12 24 -12 11
20 Fiorentina 17 1 6 10 17 28 -11 9

Recent Trends

Genoa ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)

Pisa ❌ ⚪ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.87
# Clean Sheets: 0

Pisa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Genoa and Pisa, the odds are in favor of the home team, with a 63.0% probability of Genoa securing a victory. Despite their lowly 17th position in Serie A, Genoa is expected to outperform Pisa, who are currently languishing in 19th place. The match is projected to have less than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% chance of this outcome.

Match Analysis

Genoa enters this match on the back of a challenging spell, having suffered three consecutive losses. They faced tough opponents like Roma, Atalanta, and Inter, managing to score just two goals while conceding six. Their recent performances have highlighted defensive vulnerabilities and a lack of clinical finishing. However, their expected goals (xG) of 1.292 per game suggests they are creating chances, but not converting them effectively. Pisa, meanwhile, has struggled to find form, with their last three games resulting in a draw against Cagliari and losses to Juventus and Lecce. Despite scoring twice against Cagliari, Pisa's defense has been leaky, conceding five goals over these matches. Their recent metrics show an average of 1.6 goals scored but also 1.8 goals conceded per game, indicating both potential in attack and frailties at the back.

Final Prediction

Genoa's edge in this matchup stems from their overall better odds and home advantage. Despite recent struggles, their ability to create opportunities suggests they might capitalize against Pisa's porous defense. A key factor to watch will be whether Genoa can improve their finishing to convert chances into goals and secure a much-needed win.