Serie A 2025-2026: Genoa vs Verona Prediction
Genoa
Home Team
66%
VS
Verona
Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Bologna | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Como | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Juventus | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Lazio | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Udinese | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Pisa | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Genoa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 2)
Verona
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.61
# Clean Sheets:
0
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.63
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Genoa and Verona is poised to end in favor of Genoa, with a significant 66.0% probability of a home win. Meanwhile, Verona's chances stand at a lower 16.0%, and a draw is predicted at 18.0%. Both teams find themselves in the relegation zone, with Genoa at 18th and Verona at the bottom in 20th position. The likelihood of the match featuring under 2.5 goals is predicted at 54.0%, suggesting a defensively tight encounter.
Match Analysis
Genoa has shown glimpses of resilience in their recent performances, managing to secure a victory against Sassuolo and drawing against both Cagliari and Fiorentina. Despite their position in the league, this recent form has seen them score five goals across three matches, indicating a potential upward trajectory in their attacking prowess. However, their defense remains a concern, having conceded six goals in the same period.
On the other hand, Verona has struggled to find their footing, enduring a winless streak that extends over the past three games, with losses to Parma and Inter and a goalless draw against Lecce. Their offensive struggles are underscored by an average of just 0.2 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have not fared much better, conceding 1.8 goals on average.
Final Prediction
Genoa's edge in this matchup stems from their slightly better recent form and scoring ability, which is crucial against a Verona side that is struggling both offensively and defensively. A key factor to watch will be Genoa's ability to capitalize on Verona's vulnerabilities at the back, potentially securing a much-needed win to climb out of the relegation zone.