Serie A 2025-2026: Inter vs Cremonese Prediction

Inter

Home Team
99%
VS

Cremonese

Away Team
0%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 63%
Under 2.5: 37%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Milan 5 4 0 1 9 3 6 12
2 Napoli 5 4 0 1 10 5 5 12
3 Roma 5 4 0 1 5 1 4 12
4 Juventus 5 3 2 0 9 5 4 11
5 Inter 5 3 0 2 13 7 6 9
6 Atalanta 5 2 3 0 10 4 6 9
7 Cremonese 5 2 3 0 6 4 2 9
8 Como 5 2 2 1 6 4 2 8
9 Bologna 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
10 Cagliari 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
11 Udinese 5 2 1 2 5 8 -3 7
12 Lazio 5 2 0 3 7 4 3 6
13 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6
14 Parma 5 1 2 2 3 6 -3 5
15 Torino 5 1 1 3 2 10 -8 4
16 Fiorentina 5 0 3 2 3 6 -3 3
17 Verona 5 0 3 2 2 8 -6 3
18 Pisa 5 0 2 3 3 6 -3 2
19 Genoa 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2
20 Lecce 5 0 2 3 4 10 -6 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.96
# Clean Sheets: 2

Cremonese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Inter is strongly favored to secure a victory against Cremonese, with an overwhelming 99.0% probability of winning. The match is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 63.0% likelihood. Inter currently sits in 5th position in Serie A, while Cremonese is close behind in 7th place, both with 9 points but separated by goal difference.

Match Analysis

Inter comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They have claimed two wins in their last three outings, including a solid 2-0 away victory against Cagliari and a narrow 2-1 home win over Sassuolo. However, they did suffer a close 4-3 defeat to Juventus, which suggests some defensive vulnerabilities. In terms of advanced metrics, Inter has been productive offensively, averaging 2.67 goals per game in their last five matches, and defensively sound with an average of just 1 goal conceded per game. On the other hand, Cremonese has been consistent but less explosive, achieving three consecutive draws. Their recent 1-1 draw against Como and two goalless draws against Parma and Verona highlight their defensive resilience but also a lack of cutting edge in attack. Their advanced metrics reveal an average of just 1 goal scored per game and a relatively low expected goals rate of 0.36, indicating struggles in converting opportunities. Despite maintaining two clean sheets in their last five matches, their defense may face a stern test against Inter's potent offense.

Final Prediction

Inter's superiority in attacking prowess and recent form gives them a significant edge over Cremonese in this encounter. The key to watch will be Inter's ability to break down Cremonese's defense, which has shown resilience in recent games. With Inter's offensive strength and Cremonese's defensive tactics, fans can expect an intriguing contest, likely with several goals.