Serie A 2024-2025: Inter vs Lazio Prediction

Inter

Home Team
83%
VS

Lazio

Away Team
7%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Recent Trends

Inter ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 1)

Lazio ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.23
# Clean Sheets: 2

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.17
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Inter is strongly favored to win against Lazio with a substantial 83.0% probability of victory in their upcoming clash. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 58.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Inter, currently sitting in second place in Serie A with 77 points, is just a point behind leaders Napoli, while Lazio is in fifth place with 64 points, battling for European qualification.

Match Analysis

Inter's recent performances have been mixed, with two wins and a loss in their last three outings. A commanding 2-0 away victory against Torino and a 1-0 home win over Verona highlighted their defensive solidity, which was only disrupted by a narrow 1-0 loss to Roma. Inter has been consistent in finding the net, averaging 1.8 goals in their recent matches, while maintaining two clean sheets in their last five games. Their expected goals metrics also support their attacking prowess, averaging nearly 2 expected goals per game. Lazio, on the other hand, has shown resilience but less consistency, as evidenced by their recent results: a 1-1 draw with Juventus, a hard-fought 1-0 win against Empoli, and a 2-2 stalemate with Parma. Lazio's scoring and conceding patterns are quite balanced, averaging 1.2 goals in both areas over the last five games. Their expected goals statistics suggest they may struggle to break down Inter's defense, with a marginally lower average compared to Inter.

Final Prediction

Inter's edge in this encounter is attributed to their superior form and statistical advantage, particularly in attack, where they have been more prolific than Lazio. Additionally, their ability to keep clean sheets could be crucial against a Lazio side that has shown vulnerability in defense. A key factor to watch will be Inter's ability to capitalize on their goal-scoring opportunities, as they look to maintain pressure on Napoli in the title race.