Serie A 2025-2026: Inter vs Lazio Prediction
Inter
Home Team
96%
VS
Lazio
Away Team
2%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Bologna | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Como | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Lazio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Pisa | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Verona | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
Recent Trends
Inter
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 4 - 1)
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Inter
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.85
# Clean Sheets:
2
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.43
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Inter and Lazio heavily favors the home team, Inter, with a commanding 96.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of Lazio securing a win is a mere 2.0%, with a draw sharing the same minimal probability. This match is predicted to exceed 2.5 goals, with a 56.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Inter sits in a strong second position in Serie A, while Lazio is positioned eighth.
Match Analysis
Inter enters this match on a solid run, having won two of their last three games, including a recent 2-1 away victory against Verona and a dominant 3-0 home win over Fiorentina. Their only setback came against top-positioned Napoli with a 3-1 away loss. Inter's offensive prowess is evident as they average 3.0 goals per game over their last five outings, while their defense remains sturdy, conceding only an average of 0.8 goals per game.
Conversely, Lazio's recent performances have been a mixed bag. They secured a convincing 2-0 win against Cagliari and managed a 1-0 upset over Juventus. However, their offensive struggles were evident in a goalless draw against Pisa. Lazio's defense has been their standout feature, achieving four clean sheets in the last five games, while their attack averages a modest 0.6 goals per game. Despite this defensive solidity, their average expected goals conceded is higher at 1.428, indicating potential vulnerabilities.
Final Prediction
Inter's superior attacking form and strong defensive metrics give them a significant edge going into this matchup. Their ability to consistently score and limit opposition chances will likely be decisive. A crucial aspect to watch will be how well Lazio can maintain their defensive resilience against Inter's prolific attack. With Inter's home advantage and current form, they appear poised to secure another important victory in their pursuit of the top spot in Serie A.