Serie A 2025-2026: Inter vs Milan Prediction
Inter
Home Team
70%
VS
Milan
Away Team
14%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Inter
- Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
Milan
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Inter
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.79
# Clean Sheets:
3
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.82
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Serie A clash between Inter and Milan, the odds favor Inter with a 70% probability of winning. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 53%, hinting at a potentially high-scoring affair. As it stands, Inter leads the league in first place with 24 points, while Milan closely trails in third place with 22 points.
Match Analysis
Inter's recent form has been impressive, securing three consecutive victories against Lazio, Verona, and Fiorentina. With an average of 2.4 goals scored per game in their last five matches, their offensive prowess is evident. Their solid defense, allowing only 0.8 goals per game and achieving three clean sheets in their last five outings, further underscores their dominance.
Milan, on the other hand, has shown resilience. They drew against Parma and Atalanta and registered a crucial win against Roma. Milan has averaged 1.6 goals per match while conceding just 0.6 in their last five games, demonstrating a balanced approach. However, their single clean sheet in these matches suggests room for defensive improvement.
Key advanced metrics reveal Inter's edge, with their higher expected goals scored (2.81) compared to Milan (1.614). Inter's defense also appears more robust on paper, with an expected goals conceded of 0.792 versus Milan's 0.816.
Final Prediction
Inter's superior goal-scoring ability and tighter defense give them a clear advantage heading into this match against Milan. A key factor to watch will be Inter's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, as reflected in their higher expected goals metrics, which could be pivotal in determining the outcome of this exciting fixture.