Serie A 2024-2025: Inter vs Roma Prediction - 27 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Inter

Home Team
80%
VS

Roma

Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Inter L W D W W

  • Last Match: L vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Atalanta (Goals: 2 - 0)

Roma W D D W W

  • Last Match: W vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.11
# Clean Sheets: 1

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.78
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Inter and Roma in Serie A sees Inter as the clear favorites with an 80% probability of winning. The match is also predicted to feature over 2.5 goals with a 52% likelihood. Currently, Inter sits at the top of the league table with 71 points, while Roma is positioned 7th with 57 points. These standings set the stage for an intriguing encounter at the top and middle of the table.

Match Analysis

Inter's recent form has been a mixed bag with a loss to Bologna, a win against Cagliari, and a draw with Parma. Despite this inconsistency, Inter has been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches. Their defense, while generally solid, has also shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. The advanced metrics show Inter's expected goals (xG) at 2.08 per game, indicating their attacking prowess. Roma, on the other hand, has been defensively robust, maintaining three clean sheets in their last five games. Their recent performances include a win against Verona and draws against Lazio and Juventus, showcasing their ability to grind out results against tough opponents. Roma's defense has been particularly stingy, conceding just 0.2 goals on average in the last five matches. Their expected goals conceded (xGA) is 0.778, highlighting their defensive strength.

Final Prediction

Inter's superior attacking statistics and their current top position in the league give them a clear edge over Roma. However, Roma's solid defense could pose a challenge, making this a potentially thrilling encounter. A key factor to watch will be Inter's ability to break down Roma's defense, which could ultimately determine the outcome of the match. With both teams having different strengths, fans can expect an exciting and competitive game.

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