Serie A 2025-2026: Juventus vs Cagliari Prediction

Juventus

Home Team
94%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Roma 12 9 0 3 15 6 9 27
2 Milan 12 7 4 1 18 9 9 25
3 Napoli 12 8 1 3 19 11 8 25
4 Inter 12 8 0 4 26 13 13 24
5 Bologna 12 7 3 2 21 8 13 24
6 Como 12 5 6 1 17 7 10 21
7 Juventus 12 5 5 2 15 11 4 20
8 Lazio 12 5 3 4 15 9 6 18
9 Sassuolo 12 5 2 5 16 14 2 17
10 Udinese 12 4 3 5 12 20 -8 15
11 Cremonese 12 3 5 4 13 16 -3 14
12 Torino 12 3 5 4 11 21 -10 14
13 Atalanta 12 2 7 3 14 14 0 13
14 Cagliari 12 2 5 5 12 17 -5 11
15 Parma 12 2 5 5 9 15 -6 11
16 Pisa 12 1 7 4 10 16 -6 10
17 Lecce 12 2 4 6 8 16 -8 10
18 Genoa 12 1 5 6 11 19 -8 8
19 Fiorentina 12 0 6 6 10 19 -9 6
20 Verona 12 0 6 6 7 18 -11 6

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.90
# Clean Sheets: 1

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.56
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Juventus is heavily favored to secure a victory against Cagliari with a commanding 94% probability of winning. The game is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 47% probability supporting this outcome. Currently, Juventus sits in 7th position in Serie A, while Cagliari is struggling further down the table in 14th place.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Juventus has shown a mix of resilience and inconsistency. They managed a 2-1 victory away at Cremonese, but were held to draws against Fiorentina (1-1) and Torino (0-0). Despite these mixed results, Juventus has been effective in front of goal, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last five matches, which aligns with their expected goals of 1.686. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding on average 1.0 goal per game. Cagliari's recent performances have been less impressive. They have not secured a win in their last three matches, drawing against Genoa (3-3) and Como (0-0), and losing to Lazio (0-2). Their average goals scored stands at 1.0 per game, with expected goals slightly higher at 1.188, indicating some inefficiency in finishing. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Final Prediction

Juventus's superior form and higher league standing give them a significant edge over Cagliari. With their solid goal-scoring ability and relatively tight defense, they are well-positioned to secure a win. A key factor to watch will be Juventus's ability to convert their chances, as they have been creating opportunities consistently. Cagliari will need to tighten their defense to have any chance of disrupting Juventus's rhythm.