Serie A 2025-2026: Juventus vs Udinese Prediction

Juventus

Home Team
77%
VS

Udinese

Away Team
10%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 8 6 0 2 15 8 7 18
2 Roma 8 6 0 2 8 3 5 18
3 Milan 8 5 2 1 13 6 7 17
4 Inter 8 5 0 3 19 11 8 15
5 Bologna 8 4 2 2 13 7 6 14
6 Como 8 3 4 1 9 5 4 13
7 Atalanta 8 2 6 0 12 6 6 12
8 Juventus 8 3 3 2 9 8 1 12
9 Udinese 8 3 3 2 10 12 -2 12
10 Lazio 8 3 2 3 11 7 4 11
11 Cremonese 8 2 5 1 9 10 -1 11
12 Torino 8 3 2 3 8 14 -6 11
13 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 8 9 -1 10
14 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
15 Parma 8 1 4 3 3 7 -4 7
16 Lecce 8 1 3 4 7 13 -6 6
17 Verona 8 0 5 3 4 11 -7 5
18 Fiorentina 8 0 4 4 7 12 -5 4
19 Pisa 8 0 4 4 5 12 -7 4
20 Genoa 8 0 3 5 4 11 -7 3

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 1

Udinese

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.62
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Juventus is predicted to secure a home victory over Udinese with a 77.0% probability, reflecting their strong standing as the favored team. The game is also anticipated to have a lower scoring outcome, with a predicted probability of under 2.5 goals at 51.0%. Currently, both teams share the same points tally in Serie A, with Juventus in 8th place and Udinese in 9th, highlighting the competitive nature of the upcoming clash.

Match Analysis

Juventus enters this fixture on the back of two consecutive defeats against Lazio and Como, both away from home, before managing a goalless draw against Milan at home. Their recent performances have shown a struggle in front of goal, with no goals scored in their last three matches. However, their defensive solidity is underscored by their average of only one goal conceded per game over their last five matches. Despite their recent dip, Juventus's overall average goals scored in the last five games remains at 1.75, indicating their potential to bounce back offensively. Udinese, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag of results. Their recent victory over Lecce was a high point, but it was followed by two consecutive 1-1 draws against Cremonese and Cagliari. While their scoring average stands at 1.25 goals per game, their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding the same number of goals on average. Notably, Udinese has yet to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, suggesting potential defensive frailties that Juventus could exploit.

Final Prediction

Juventus holds the edge in this matchup largely due to their superior defensive record and home advantage. Their ability to maintain solidity at the back could prove decisive against a Udinese side that has struggled to keep opponents at bay. A key factor to watch will be Juventus's ability to break their recent scoring drought, which could be pivotal in securing the expected victory.