Serie A 2025-2026: Lazio vs Cagliari Prediction
Lazio
Home Team
76%
VS
Cagliari
Away Team
11%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Roma | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Inter | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Bologna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Cremonese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 10 | Udinese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Torino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
Cagliari
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.31
# Clean Sheets:
3
Cagliari
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.98
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lazio and Cagliari is predicted to favor the home team, with Lazio having a 76.0% probability of securing a victory. Meanwhile, Cagliari stands a much lower chance of winning at just 11.0%. The likelihood of a draw sits at 13.0%. The game is also projected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% probability of an under 2.5 goals result. Currently, Lazio is positioned 12th in the Serie A standings, while Cagliari is in 14th place.
Match Analysis
Lazio comes into this match having shown mixed form in their recent outings. They secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Juventus, a commendable achievement, especially at home. However, their last two games resulted in draws, a 0-0 stalemate against Atalanta and a thrilling 3-3 draw with Torino. Despite these mixed results, Lazio has demonstrated resilience, particularly in defense, as evidenced by three clean sheets in their last five matches. Their average goal scoring remains decent at 2.0 per game, while they concede an average of 1.0 goals.
Cagliari, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency. They managed a 2-2 draw away at Verona, but a 0-2 defeat at home against Bologna highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. Their last match against Udinese ended in a 1-1 draw. Cagliari's average of 1.25 goals scored and conceded per game suggests they can be a threat, but their lack of clean sheets in recent games is concerning. The advanced metrics show they concede more expected goals than they generate, which could be a critical factor in this match.
Final Prediction
Lazio's edge in this encounter stems from their superior defensive record and the ability to keep clean sheets, a contrast to Cagliari's defensive struggles. A key factor to watch will be Lazio’s ability to capitalize on their scoring chances, as their expected goals suggest they have the potential to convert opportunities more efficiently. Cagliari will need to tighten their defense if they are to challenge Lazio in this fixture.