Serie A 2025-2026: Lazio vs Como Prediction

Lazio

Home Team
28%
VS

Como

Away Team
50%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 20 15 1 4 43 17 26 46
2 Milan 20 12 7 1 33 16 17 43
3 Napoli 20 12 4 4 30 17 13 40
4 Juventus 20 11 6 3 32 16 16 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 12 12 39
6 Como 20 9 7 4 28 16 12 34
7 Atalanta 20 8 7 5 25 19 6 31
8 Bologna 20 8 6 6 29 22 7 30
9 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 16 5 28
10 Udinese 20 7 5 8 22 32 -10 26
11 Sassuolo 20 6 5 9 23 27 -4 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 32 -11 23
13 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 28 -8 22
14 Parma 20 5 7 8 14 22 -8 22
15 Genoa 20 4 7 9 22 29 -7 19
16 Cagliari 20 4 7 9 21 30 -9 19
17 Lecce 20 4 5 11 13 28 -15 17
18 Fiorentina 20 2 8 10 21 31 -10 14
19 Pisa 20 1 10 9 15 30 -15 13
20 Verona 20 2 7 11 17 34 -17 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 2

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.64
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lazio and Como sees the visitors favored with a 50.0% probability of winning, while Lazio's chances stand at 28.0%. The prediction leans towards Como coming out on top. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% chance of such an outcome. In the current Serie A standings, Como sits at 6th position, holding 34 points, whereas Lazio is in 9th place with 28 points.

Match Analysis

Lazio's recent performances have been a mixed bag with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They managed a narrow victory against Verona but were held to a draw by Fiorentina and defeated by Napoli. Lazio's goal-scoring and conceding trends are quite balanced, averaging 1.0 goals scored and conceded per game over the last five matches. Their expected goals (xG) metrics are slightly above average at 1.256 scored and 1.286 conceded, showcasing a team striving for consistency. Como, on the other hand, appears to be in a more positive form. Their last three games include a dominant 3-0 victory over Pisa and a draw against Bologna, although they suffered a loss to Milan. Como's attack has been more prolific, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Their defense has shown resilience, evidenced by three clean sheets in the last five matches. Como's expected goals statistics indicate a potent offense with 1.878 xG per game, suggesting they are capable of creating and converting chances effectively.

Final Prediction

Como's current form and superior attacking metrics give them a notable edge over Lazio. Their ability to score consistently and maintain defensive solidity could be decisive in securing a victory. A key factor to watch during the game will be Como's attacking prowess, which might just tip the balance in their favor against a Lazio side searching for stability.