Serie A 2025-2026: Lazio vs Lecce Prediction
Lazio
Home Team
65%
VS
Lecce
Away Team
16%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.52
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.35
# Clean Sheets:
4
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.68
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.44
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
Lazio is predicted to secure a victory in their upcoming match against Lecce, with a significant probability of 65.0%. The game is expected to remain low-scoring, with a 44.0% chance of under 2.5 goals being scored. In the current Serie A standings, Lazio holds the 9th position, while Lecce finds itself in 15th place, fighting to steer clear of the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
In their last three outings, Lazio has shown mixed form with a win, a draw, and a recent loss to league leaders Inter. Their win against Cagliari at home was a solid performance, showcasing their defensive strengths with a clean sheet. Lazio's attack, however, struggled against Pisa, resulting in a goalless draw away from home. Key metrics indicate that Lazio has been effective defensively, boasting four clean sheets in their last five matches, and on average, they have scored two goals per game recently.
Lecce, meanwhile, has had a similarly inconsistent run. They managed a hard-fought draw against Verona and a narrow victory over Fiorentina away from home, but suffered a defeat to Napoli. Lecce's defensive capabilities are noteworthy, with three clean sheets in their last five games. However, their attack has been less potent, averaging just one goal per game and generating lower expected goals compared to their upcoming opponents.
Final Prediction
Lazio's defensive solidity and home advantage give them a clear edge in this matchup against Lecce. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and score crucial goals could be decisive. The key factor to watch will be Lazio’s defensive organization, which has been a cornerstone of their recent performances and could very well determine the outcome of the game.