Serie A 2024-2025: Lazio vs Parma Prediction

Lazio

Home Team
84%
VS

Parma

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Lazio ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 5)

Parma ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.70
# Clean Sheets: 2

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lazio and Parma is heavily skewed in favor of the home team, with an 84.0% probability of a Lazio victory. The likelihood of Parma pulling off an upset stands at a mere 7.0%, while a draw is predicted at 9.0%. The match is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% probability backing this outcome. Currently, Lazio is positioned 6th in the Serie A standings, while Parma is struggling at 15th.

Match Analysis

Lazio enters this fixture in solid form, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three matches. Their recent victories include a commendable 2-0 win against Genoa and a tight 1-0 triumph over Atalanta, both on the road. A 1-1 draw against city rivals Roma further highlights their resilience at home. Key metrics reveal that Lazio has been effective upfront, with an average of 2.0 goals scored in the last five games, while defensively they have been relatively sturdy, conceding just 1.2 goals per game on average. Parma, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag of results, including a surprising home victory against Juventus. Their recent performances also include a goalless draw away at Fiorentina and a spirited 2-2 draw against league leaders Inter. Despite these competitive results, Parma's offensive output has been modest, with an average of just 0.4 goals scored over the last five games. However, their defensive efforts have been noteworthy, maintaining three clean sheets in the same period.

Final Prediction

Lazio's home advantage and superior recent form give them a significant edge in this encounter. Their ability to score consistently, coupled with a solid defensive record, positions them well against a Parma side that has struggled to find the back of the net. A key factor to watch will be Lazio's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, potentially deciding the outcome of the game in their favor.