Serie A 2025-2026: Lecce vs Como Prediction

Lecce

Home Team
34%
VS

Como

Away Team
41%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 0 4 34 14 20 33
2 Milan 15 9 5 1 24 13 11 32
3 Napoli 15 10 1 4 22 13 9 31
4 Roma 15 10 0 5 16 8 8 30
5 Juventus 15 7 5 3 19 14 5 26
6 Bologna 15 7 4 4 23 13 10 25
7 Como 15 6 6 3 19 12 7 24
8 Lazio 15 6 4 5 17 11 6 22
9 Sassuolo 15 6 3 6 21 19 2 21
10 Udinese 15 6 3 6 16 22 -6 21
11 Cremonese 15 5 5 5 18 18 0 20
12 Atalanta 15 4 7 4 19 18 1 19
13 Torino 15 4 5 6 15 26 -11 17
14 Lecce 15 4 4 7 11 19 -8 16
15 Cagliari 15 3 5 7 15 21 -6 14
16 Genoa 15 3 5 7 16 23 -7 14
17 Parma 15 3 5 7 10 18 -8 14
18 Verona 15 2 6 7 13 22 -9 12
19 Pisa 15 1 7 7 10 20 -10 10
20 Fiorentina 15 0 6 9 12 26 -14 6

Recent Trends

Lecce ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)

Como ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Torino (Goals: 5 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lecce

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.95
# Clean Sheets: 2

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Lecce and Como is poised to be a tightly contested affair. With a 41.0% probability of winning, Como is favored over Lecce, who has a 34.0% chance of victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 25.0%. Given the current standings, Como sits comfortably in 7th place with 24 points, while Lecce is lower in 14th place with 16 points. The match is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% chance, suggesting a closely contested and low-scoring encounter.

Match Analysis

Lecce enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They secured a vital home victory against Pisa with a 1-0 scoreline and managed a narrow 2-1 win over Torino, also at home. However, they stumbled away against Cremonese, losing 2-0. Defensively, Lecce has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 0.4 goals in their last five games while keeping two clean sheets. Offensively, their average goals scored per game is 0.6, indicating a need for more attacking prowess. Como, on the other hand, faced tough opponents recently. They suffered defeats away to Roma and Inter, failing to score in both encounters. However, they bounced back with a convincing 2-0 home win against Sassuolo. Como's offensive play has been slightly more effective, averaging 1.0 goals per game, but they also conceded 1.2 goals on average. Their defense will need to tighten up, given the higher expected goals conceded rate of 1.538.

Final Prediction

Como's edge in this match primarily stems from their higher position in the league standings and their slightly better offensive metrics. While both teams have shown defensive resilience with two clean sheets each in their recent matches, Como's ability to score more consistently could be decisive. A key factor to watch will be Como's ability to break down Lecce's defense, which has shown signs of being formidable in recent home games.