Serie A 2025-2026: Lecce vs Parma Prediction
Lecce
Home Team
39%
VS
Parma
Away Team
35%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
41%
Under 2.5:
59%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Milan | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Napoli | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Juventus | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Roma | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Como | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Lazio | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 |
| 10 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Verona | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 13 |
| 20 | Pisa | 19 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
Parma
- Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.45
# Clean Sheets:
1
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.38
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lecce and Parma is anticipated to be a closely contested affair, with Lecce holding a slight edge with a 39.0% probability of securing a home victory over Parma's 35.0% chance of winning away. A draw is also a considerable possibility at 26.0%. Both teams currently find themselves near the lower end of the Serie A standings, with Parma in 15th place and Lecce just behind in 16th. The prediction leans towards a result with fewer than 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net.
Match Analysis
Lecce's recent form has been less than stellar, with two losses and a draw in their last three matches, including a 0-2 defeat at home to Roma and a 0-3 loss against Como. Their only point came from a 1-1 draw away at Juventus, indicating some resilience against stronger opponents. Advanced metrics show Lecce has been struggling to score, averaging only 0.6 goals per game over their last five matches, while their defense has conceded 1.2 goals on average.
Parma, on the other hand, has shown slightly better form with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three outings. They managed a narrow 1-0 victory at home against Fiorentina, drew 1-1 away with Sassuolo, and lost 0-2 to league leaders Inter. Parma's ability to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, coupled with an average of 1.0 goals scored, suggests they have the defensive solidity and offensive capability to challenge Lecce.
Final Prediction
Lecce is predicted to have a marginal edge in this matchup, primarily due to their home advantage and slightly better probability of winning. However, Parma's recent defensive performances and ability to score could make this a tightly contested game. A key factor to watch will be how each team's defense holds up, particularly Lecce's, given Parma's potential to capitalize on scoring opportunities.