Serie A 2025-2026: Lecce vs Pisa Prediction
Lecce
Home Team
46%
VS
Pisa
Away Team
28%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Inter | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 30 |
| 4 | Roma | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Bologna | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Lazio | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 11 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Torino | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Pisa | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Verona | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
Pisa
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.21
# Clean Sheets:
2
Pisa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.06
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Lecce and Pisa sees Lecce as the predicted winner with a 46.0% probability. The possibility of Pisa securing a victory stands at 28.0%, while a draw is at 25.0%. The encounter is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals with a probability of 48.0%. Currently, Lecce is positioned 17th in Serie A, just above the relegation zone, whereas Pisa is 18th, striving to climb out of the bottom three.
Match Analysis
Lecce has had a mixed bag of performances in their last three outings, with a victory at home against Torino being the highlight. Despite this win, they suffered defeats away to Cremonese and Lazio, conceding two goals in each of those games. This inconsistency reflects their struggle in both defense and attack, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and conceded over their last five matches. However, their ability to keep two clean sheets in recent games indicates potential defensive resilience.
On the other hand, Pisa's recent form has been less encouraging. They have failed to secure a win, with a home loss against Parma and Inter and a hard-fought draw away at Sassuolo. Pisa's average goals scored (1.6) surpass Lecce's, but their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 2.6 goals in the last five games. Despite their offensive efforts, highlighted by an average expected goals of 1.414, their defensive vulnerabilities could be pivotal in the outcome against Lecce.
Final Prediction
Lecce's home advantage and slightly more consistent defensive performance give them the edge in this contest. Pisa's defensive frailties, especially away from home, might be the key factor that Lecce can exploit. Football fans should keep an eye on Lecce's ability to maintain their defensive structure, which could be decisive in securing a crucial win in their bid to avoid relegation.