Serie A 2024-2025: Lecce vs Venezia Prediction

Lecce

Home Team
51%
VS

Venezia

Away Team
24%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 28 39 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 47 24 23 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 29 34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 34 16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 28 18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 30 15 52
7 Lazio 30 15 7 8 51 42 9 52
8 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 30 17 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 45 35 10 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 41 -5 40
11 Torino 30 9 12 9 35 35 0 39
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 47 -11 30
14 Verona 30 9 3 18 29 58 -29 30
15 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 44 -13 29
16 Parma 30 5 11 14 35 49 -14 26
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 52 -28 15

Recent Trends

Lecce ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)

Venezia ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lecce

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.03
# Clean Sheets: 0

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.75
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

In an upcoming Serie A clash, Lecce is predicted to secure a victory over Venezia with a 51.0% probability. This match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 46.0% probability that the game will have under 2.5 goals. Lecce currently sits at 17th place, precariously close to the relegation zone, whereas Venezia is in an even more perilous position at 19th place.

Match Analysis

Both teams have struggled in their recent fixtures, with Lecce experiencing a streak of three consecutive losses. They were defeated by Roma, Genoa, and Milan, with scorelines of 0-1, 1-2, and 2-3 respectively. Despite showing some attacking potential against Milan, Lecce's defensive frailties have been a significant concern, as evidenced by their average of 1.8 goals conceded per game in the last five outings. Their expected goals against (xGA) of 2.028 further highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Venezia, on the other hand, recently managed to hold Napoli to a goalless draw and played out a 1-1 draw against Como. However, they suffered a narrow 0-1 loss to Bologna. Venezia's defense has shown some resilience, with three clean sheets in their last five matches. Offensively, Venezia averages 0.8 goals scored per game, slightly better than Lecce, with an expected goal (xG) of 1.01, indicating potential to capitalize on Lecce's defensive lapses.

Final Prediction

Lecce's predicted edge stems largely from their slightly higher win probability and the fact they are playing at home, where they will be eager to capitalize on Venezia's struggles. However, the key factor to watch will be whether Lecce can shore up their defense to prevent Venezia from exploiting their weaknesses. This match is poised to be a tight contest, where defensive solidity could make all the difference.