Serie A 2025-2026: Lecce vs Verona Prediction
Lecce
Home Team
40%
VS
Verona
Away Team
33%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Bologna | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Como | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Lazio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Pisa | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Verona | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
Recent Trends
Lecce
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
Verona
- Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lecce
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.08
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.52
# Clean Sheets:
3
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.73
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Serie A clash between Lecce and Verona sees the home side as slight favorites with a 40% probability of winning. Verona's chances stand at 33%, leaving a 27% probability for a draw. Currently, Lecce holds the 15th position in the league, while Verona is struggling at the 19th spot. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45% probability of such an outcome.
Match Analysis
Lecce has had a mixed bag of results in their last three outings, securing a crucial away win against Fiorentina but suffering defeats to Napoli and Udinese. Despite these setbacks, their defense has shown resilience, managing three clean sheets in their last five matches. Lecce's performance in terms of goals scored is modest, with an average of 0.6 goals per game, yet their expected goals tally of 1.082 suggests they are creating scoring opportunities.
Verona, on the other hand, is on a challenging run, having not registered a win in their last three games. They managed a draw against Cagliari but faced defeats against Inter and Como. Verona's offensive struggles are evident, averaging only 0.4 goals per game while conceding an average of 2.0 goals. Their expected goals scored of 1.22 indicate potential that has not translated into actual goals, which might be a factor they will look to improve upon against Lecce.
Final Prediction
Lecce's slight edge in this encounter can be attributed to their recent defensive solidity and the ability to grind out results, as evidenced by their win against Fiorentina. A key factor to watch during the game will be Lecce's ability to convert their expected goal opportunities into actual goals, which could be the difference-maker against a Verona side that has struggled defensively.