Serie A 2024-2025: Milan vs Bologna Prediction

Milan

Home Team
67%
VS

Bologna

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
16 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15

Recent Trends

Milan ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)

Bologna ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Milan

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.52
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.88
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Milan and Bologna is predicted to favor the home team, Milan, with a significant probability of victory at 67.0%. The likelihood of an away win for Bologna stands at a mere 16.0%, while the possibility of a draw is calculated at 18.0%. Milan, currently positioned 9th in Serie A, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against 7th-placed Bologna. The match is also expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 59.0%.

Match Analysis

Milan's recent form has shown some inconsistency. They secured two away victories against Genoa (2-1) and Venezia (2-0) but stumbled at home against Atalanta, losing 0-1. Despite this, Milan's average goals scored and conceded in the last five games (both 1.2) highlight a balance in their performance. The team has managed two clean sheets in this period, indicating a potential for defensive resilience. Bologna, on the other hand, has been resilient, achieving a surprising home victory against Inter (1-0) and holding Juventus to a 1-1 draw. Their away form saw them draw 0-0 with Udinese. Bologna's recent performances reflect a solid defensive setup with an average of just 1.0 goals conceded per game over the last five matches, complemented by two clean sheets. However, their attack has been less potent, averaging only 0.6 goals per game.

Final Prediction

Milan's predicted edge in this match stems from their higher win probability and the advantage of playing at home. Their ability to find the net, combined with a relatively solid defense, gives them a favorable outlook. A key factor to watch will be Milan's ability to convert their expected goal opportunities into actual goals, especially against Bologna's disciplined defense. Football fans should look forward to a potentially high-scoring encounter, as both teams strive to improve their league standing.