Serie A 2025-2026: Milan vs Verona Prediction
Milan
Home Team
83%
VS
Verona
Away Team
7%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Milan
- Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
Verona
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.22
# Clean Sheets:
2
Verona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.64
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.39
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Serie A match, Milan is heavily favored with an 83% probability of securing a victory against Verona, who has just a 7% chance of winning. There is a 10% probability of the match ending in a draw. The game is predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 55% likelihood of such an outcome. Currently, Milan holds the 2nd position in the league standings, while Verona is struggling in the 18th spot.
Match Analysis
Milan has shown strong form in recent weeks, with a win against Torino (3-2) and Lazio (1-0), although they drew against Sassuolo (2-2) in their last home game. The team has been consistent, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game over the last five matches and maintaining two clean sheets in that period. Their expected goals metric suggests they have been generating quality scoring opportunities, averaging 2.212 expected goals per game, while defensively, they have been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.0 goal per game.
Verona, on the other hand, has been battling to escape the relegation zone, showing some fight with wins against Fiorentina (2-1) and Atalanta (3-1). However, their defeat to Genoa (1-2) highlights the inconsistency that plagues their season. Verona's goal-scoring form is less convincing, averaging only 0.8 goals per game over their last five fixtures. While their expected goals scored are slightly higher at 1.638, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game, with only one clean sheet in the same span.
Final Prediction
Milan's superior form and attacking prowess give them a significant edge over Verona. Their ability to create and capitalize on goal-scoring chances, coupled with a relatively sturdy defense, positions them as strong favorites to secure all three points. A key factor to watch will be how Milan's attacking line exploits Verona's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.