Serie A 2024-2025: Monza vs Atalanta Prediction

Monza

Home Team
1%
VS

Atalanta

Away Team
97%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 34 22 8 4 54 25 29 74
2 Inter 34 21 8 5 72 33 39 71
3 Atalanta 34 19 8 7 67 31 36 65
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 20 62
5 Bologna 34 16 13 5 52 37 15 61
6 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 17 60
7 Lazio 34 17 9 8 57 45 12 60
8 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 19 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 15 54
10 Torino 34 10 13 11 38 39 -1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 44 48 -4 42
12 Udinese 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Cagliari 34 8 9 17 35 49 -14 33
15 Verona 34 9 5 20 30 62 -32 32
16 Parma 34 6 14 14 40 53 -13 32
17 Lecce 34 6 9 19 24 56 -32 27
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 27 48 -21 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 27 54 -27 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 25 59 -34 15

Recent Trends

Monza ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 3)

Atalanta ⚪ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 0

Atalanta

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.32
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.19
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A clash between Monza and Atalanta is heavily tilted in favor of Atalanta, with a staggering 97.0% probability of an away win. Monza, languishing at the bottom of the league standings in 20th place, faces an uphill battle against 3rd-placed Atalanta. The match is expected to witness over 2.5 goals, aligning with Atalanta's potent attack and Monza's defensive struggles.

Match Analysis

Monza has been struggling to find form, having lost their last three games. Their recent defeats include a 2-0 loss to Juventus, a 1-0 home defeat against Napoli, and a narrow 1-0 loss away to Venezia. In these matches, Monza failed to score, highlighting their offensive woes. Their average of 0.4 goals scored per game and no clean sheets in the last five matches further underscore their challenges. On the other hand, Atalanta appears in fine form. They secured a solid 1-0 victory against Milan and a 2-0 win over Bologna, while holding Lecce to a 1-1 draw. Atalanta's offensive prowess is evident as they boast an average of 3.0 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have been robust, conceding just 0.2 goals on average and keeping two clean sheets. Their expected goals statistics also support their dominance, with a high xG of 2.32.

Final Prediction

Atalanta's current form and offensive strength give them a significant edge over Monza, as reflected in the predicted outcome. Monza's inability to score and their leaky defense will be critical issues, making it difficult for them to challenge Atalanta. A key factor to watch during the game will be Atalanta's attacking display, which could translate into a high-scoring affair, consistent with the predicted over 2.5 goals outcome.