Serie A 2025-2026: Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction
Napoli
Home Team
38%
VS
Atalanta
Away Team
39%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
Atalanta
- Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.42
# Clean Sheets:
2
Atalanta
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.12
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Napoli and Atalanta is predicted to be a tightly contested affair, with Atalanta holding a slight edge with a 39% probability of victory compared to Napoli's 38%. Moreover, the game is expected to have a low scoring outcome with a 45% chance of less than 2.5 goals. Currently, Napoli sits in a strong 4th position in Serie A, while Atalanta is further down the table in 13th place.
Match Analysis
Napoli will be looking to bounce back after a mixed set of recent performances. Their last three matches have seen them secure a victory against Lecce, a goalless draw with Como, and a defeat at Bologna. This pattern indicates some inconsistency, particularly in their attacking output, as they failed to score in two of their last three games. However, defensively, they have maintained two clean sheets in their last five outings, showcasing some resilience at the back.
Atalanta, on the other hand, has struggled to find form, with recent losses to Sassuolo and Udinese, and a draw against Milan. Their recent performances highlight issues in both attack and defense, as they have only scored once in their last three matches while conceding five goals. Despite this, Atalanta's advanced metrics suggest they maintain a competitive edge, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game in their last five outings. Their ability to maintain possession and create opportunities will be crucial against a defensively solid Napoli side.
Final Prediction
Atalanta's slight edge in the prediction reflects their potential to capitalize on Napoli's recent inconsistencies. A key factor to watch will be Atalanta's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, given their recent struggle in front of the net. Meanwhile, Napoli's defensive fortitude could play a decisive role in determining the outcome of this match.