Serie A 2025-2026: Napoli vs Genoa Prediction
Napoli
Home Team
94%
VS
Genoa
Away Team
2%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Inter | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Bologna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Cagliari | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Verona | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Pisa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | Lecce | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 0)
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.58
# Clean Sheets:
2
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.68
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Napoli is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Genoa, with a staggering 94% probability of victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at just 4%, while Genoa's chances of an upset are a mere 2%. In terms of goals, there is a 46% probability the match will have fewer than 2.5 goals. Currently, Napoli is seated in 2nd position in Serie A, showing strong form, whereas Genoa languishes at 19th, struggling to find their footing this season.
Match Analysis
Napoli enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results. They suffered a narrow loss away to league leaders Milan but bounced back with consecutive wins against Pisa and Fiorentina. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 2 goals scored per game in their last five fixtures, showcasing their ability to find the back of the net consistently. Defensively, they maintain a solid record, conceding just 1 goal per game on average and achieving two clean sheets in their last five outings.
In contrast, Genoa has had a challenging start to their campaign. They suffered defeats to Lazio and Bologna and managed only a draw against Como. This has left them winless in their last three matches, with an average of 1 goal scored per game. Their defensive vulnerabilities are apparent, conceding 1.5 goals per game. Despite having a slightly better average in expected goals scored (1.665), Genoa's inability to convert these into actual goals and their defensive frailties have been their undoing.
Final Prediction
Napoli's edge over Genoa lies in their superior form and attacking efficiency. Their ability to score consistently, combined with a relatively sturdy defense, positions them as clear favorites. A key factor to monitor during the game will be Napoli's attacking trio, who are poised to exploit Genoa's defensive lapses. With their place near the top of the standings, Napoli will be eager to secure three points and maintain their pursuit of league leaders Milan.