Serie A 2025-2026: Napoli vs Inter Prediction
Napoli
Home Team
48%
VS
Inter
Away Team
29%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Udinese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 3 - 1)
Inter
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 3 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.60
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.28
# Clean Sheets:
0
Inter
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.13
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Napoli and Inter is anticipated to be an exciting encounter, with a predicted result favoring the home team, Napoli, who holds a 48.0% probability of winning. The game is also expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 50.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Inter sits 2nd in the Serie A standings with 15 points, just ahead of Napoli, who are also on 15 points but occupy the 3rd spot on goal difference.
Match Analysis
Napoli's recent form has been mixed, with their last three games resulting in a win and two losses. They managed a 2-1 victory over Genoa at home but suffered defeats against Torino and league leaders Milan away from home. Despite these setbacks, Napoli's attack has been relatively consistent, averaging 2.0 goals per game over their last five matches, though they have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in the same period.
Inter, on the other hand, comes into this match on a high note, having won all of their last three games. They secured solid victories against Roma, Cremonese, and Cagliari, with their performance against Cremonese particularly impressive, netting four goals. Inter's defense has been more resilient compared to Napoli, achieving two clean sheets in their last five outings. Their attacking prowess is also noteworthy, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game, backed by an expected goals metric of nearly 2.0, suggesting they are creating quality chances.
Final Prediction
Napoli is favored to come out on top in this intriguing battle, largely due to their home advantage and attacking capabilities. However, Inter's recent form and solid defensive displays provide them with a significant edge. A key factor to watch in this clash will be Napoli's ability to break down Inter's defense, which has been relatively robust in recent matches. Football fans can expect an exciting and closely contested match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities.