Serie A 2024-2025: Napoli vs Torino Prediction

Napoli

Home Team
91%
VS

Torino

Away Team
4%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Napoli ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 0)

Torino ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 3

Torino

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.74
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Napoli is predicted to secure a victory against Torino with a striking probability of 91.0%. The game is also expected to feature under 2.5 goals, which has a 42.0% chance. Napoli is currently positioned second in the Serie A standings, level on points with league leaders Inter, while Torino sits in the 10th position.

Match Analysis

Napoli enters this match in robust form, having collected seven points from their last three games, including a 1-0 away win against Monza and a commanding 3-0 home victory over Empoli. Their only setback was a 1-1 draw against Bologna. Napoli's recent performances show an impressive defensive record, with three clean sheets in their last five games. Their average goals scored is 1.8, while they have conceded just 0.8 on average over the same period. The advanced metrics highlight their disciplined defense, with an expected goals conceded of just 1.286. Torino's recent form is more mixed, having secured a 2-0 win over Udinese but also suffering a 1-0 defeat away at Como, followed by a 1-1 home draw with Verona. Torino has shown some resilience with two clean sheets in their last five games. However, their average goals scored and conceded both stand at 1.4, reflecting inconsistency in both attack and defense. The expected goals statistics suggest Torino may struggle to break down Napoli's solid backline, with an expected goals conceded of nearly 1.74.

Final Prediction

Napoli's strong defensive form, coupled with their effective attack, gives them a clear edge over Torino in this fixture. The key factor to watch will be Napoli's ability to maintain their defensive solidity against a Torino side that has struggled to find consistency in recent matches. Expect Napoli to leverage their home advantage and defensive prowess to secure a crucial win in their quest for the Serie A title.