Serie A 2025-2026: Parma vs Bologna Prediction
Parma
Home Team
25%
VS
Bologna
Away Team
55%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Roma | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Inter | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Bologna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Cremonese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 10 | Udinese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Torino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Parma
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
Bologna
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.72
# Clean Sheets:
2
Bologna
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.80
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Parma and Bologna is expected to favor the visitors, with Bologna having a 55.0% chance of securing a win. In contrast, Parma's chances of winning stand at 25.0%, while a draw has a 20.0% probability. The game is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with a 42.0% probability for this outcome. Bologna, currently sitting in 6th place, looks poised against 15th-placed Parma in the Serie A standings.
Match Analysis
Parma has struggled recently, managing only one point from their last three matches. Their recent outings include a narrow 2-1 defeat to Roma and goalless draws against Como and Genoa, highlighting challenges in both scoring and securing wins. Despite averaging 0.75 goals scored and conceded per game in the last five matches, their expected goals figures suggest they have been creating more opportunities than their scoring record reflects.
Bologna, on the other hand, is on a steadier path with a win and two draws from their last three games. A goalless draw against Torino and a 2-2 thriller with Fiorentina were followed by an impressive 2-0 away victory at Cagliari. Bologna's average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game points to a balanced approach, but their defensive solidity has been underlined by three clean sheets in the last five matches. However, their expected goals data indicates they might be over-performing defensively.
Final Prediction
Bologna's higher league standing, coupled with their recent form and defensive reliability, gives them an edge in this fixture. The visitors' ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities will be crucial. Fans should keep an eye on Bologna's disciplined defensive setup, which could frustrate Parma's attempts to find the back of the net.