Serie A 2024-2025: Parma vs Como Prediction - 3 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Parma

Home Team
15%
VS

Como

Away Team
70%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 43%
Under 2.5: 57%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 34 22 8 4 54 25 29 74
2 Inter 34 21 8 5 72 33 39 71
3 Atalanta 34 19 8 7 67 31 36 65
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 20 62
5 Bologna 34 16 13 5 52 37 15 61
6 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 17 60
7 Lazio 34 17 9 8 57 45 12 60
8 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 19 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 15 54
10 Torino 34 10 13 11 38 39 -1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 44 48 -4 42
12 Udinese 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Cagliari 34 8 9 17 35 49 -14 33
15 Verona 34 9 5 20 30 62 -32 32
16 Parma 34 6 14 14 40 53 -13 32
17 Lecce 34 6 9 19 24 56 -32 27
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 27 48 -21 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 27 54 -27 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 25 59 -34 15

Recent Trends

Parma D W D D D

  • Last Match: D vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)

Como W W W W D

  • Last Match: W vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.16
# Clean Sheets: 3

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.10
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Parma and Como is predicted to favor the away team, Como, with a commanding 70.0% probability of victory. Parma, on the other hand, has a modest 15.0% chance of securing a win, the same as the likelihood of a draw. The game is expected to see less than 2.5 goals given the 43.0% chance of surpassing that mark. In terms of Serie A standings, Como sits comfortably in 11th place, while Parma is in a precarious 16th position, fighting to stay out of the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Parma has shown resilience in its recent matches, with a commendable draw against Lazio (2-2) and a significant win over Juventus (1-0) at home, followed by a goalless draw with Fiorentina. This points to a team that is capable of holding its ground against formidable opponents. They have managed to maintain three clean sheets in their last five outings and have an average goal-scoring rate of 1.4 per match. On the other hand, Como has been on an impressive winning streak, securing three consecutive victories without conceding a single goal. Their recent triumphs against Genoa (1-0), Lecce (3-0), and Torino (1-0) underscore their defensive solidity and attacking prowess. Como's offensive play is reflected in their average of 2.0 goals per game over the last five matches, showcasing a potent attacking threat that Parma will need to be wary of.

Final Prediction

Como's recent form and higher league standing give them a clear edge in this fixture. Their ability to score consistently while keeping things tight at the back makes them the favorites. A key factor to watch will be Como's ability to capitalize on their efficient scoring opportunities, which could very well be the deciding element in this encounter.

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