Serie A 2025-2026: Parma vs Como Prediction
Parma
Home Team
31%
VS
Como
Away Team
46%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Udinese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Parma
- Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 2)
Como
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.83
# Clean Sheets:
2
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.23
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Parma and Como is expected to be a tightly contested affair, with Como holding a slight edge. The probability of Como securing an away victory stands at 46.0%, compared to Parma's 31.0% chance of triumphing at home. A draw remains a possibility with a 23.0% likelihood. Furthermore, the match is predicted to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 42.0% probability. In the current Serie A standings, Como finds itself in a respectable 6th position, while Parma is struggling at 15th.
Match Analysis
In their recent outings, Parma has experienced a mixed bag of results. They managed a crucial win against Torino with a 2-1 scoreline, but followed it up with a narrow 0-1 defeat at home to Lecce and a goalless draw away to Genoa. Their average goals scored and conceded in the last five games stand at 1.0, with clean sheets in two of those matches. Parma's ability to keep clean sheets could be pivotal, as their expected goals conceded is relatively low at 0.826, suggesting a solid defensive setup.
Como has been more consistent, securing a significant 2-0 victory against Juventus and drawing 1-1 in both encounters with Atalanta and Cremonese. Their average goals scored and conceded are also 1.0 over the last five matches. Como's expected goals scored (1.193) slightly edge Parma’s, indicating a marginally more potent attack. However, their defense could be tested, as they’ve conceded an average of 1.226 expected goals per game, showing some vulnerability at the back.
Final Prediction
Como's recent form and position higher up in the standings give them a slight edge heading into this encounter. Their ability to secure points against top-tier teams like Juventus might play a crucial role in their approach against Parma. A key factor to watch will be whether Parma's defense can hold firm against Como's attack, which has shown flashes of quality against strong opposition.