Serie A 2025-2026: Parma vs Inter Prediction

Parma

Home Team
2%
VS

Inter

Away Team
95%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 13 0 4 38 15 23 39
2 Milan 17 11 5 1 28 13 15 38
3 Napoli 17 12 1 4 26 13 13 37
4 Juventus 18 9 6 3 24 16 8 33
5 Roma 18 11 0 7 20 12 8 33
6 Como 17 8 6 3 23 12 11 30
7 Bologna 17 7 5 5 25 17 8 26
8 Atalanta 18 6 7 5 21 19 2 25
9 Lazio 18 6 6 6 18 14 4 24
10 Sassuolo 18 6 5 7 23 22 1 23
11 Torino 18 6 5 7 20 28 -8 23
12 Udinese 18 6 4 8 18 29 -11 22
13 Cremonese 18 5 6 7 18 21 -3 21
14 Parma 17 4 6 7 12 19 -7 18
15 Cagliari 18 4 6 8 19 25 -6 18
16 Lecce 17 4 5 8 12 23 -11 17
17 Genoa 18 3 6 9 18 28 -10 15
18 Verona 17 2 6 9 13 28 -15 12
19 Fiorentina 18 2 6 10 18 28 -10 12
20 Pisa 18 1 9 8 13 25 -12 12

Recent Trends

Parma ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 2)

Inter ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.09
# Clean Sheets: 2

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.09
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Parma and Inter, the likelihood of an Inter victory is overwhelmingly high, with a 95.0% probability. The predicted result leans towards an away win for Inter, currently sitting at the summit of the Serie A standings. With the probability of the match seeing under 2.5 goals at 48.0%, fans can expect a competitive, albeit potentially low-scoring encounter. Parma, in contrast, finds itself in the 14th position, battling to steer clear of the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Parma enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results. Their last three outings included a draw against Sassuolo, a narrow win over Fiorentina, and a defeat to Lazio. The team has averaged a mere 0.8 goals per game in their last five fixtures, reflecting their struggles in attack. Despite these challenges, Parma has managed to secure two clean sheets, indicating a potential for defensive resilience. However, they have also been prone to conceding, with an average of 1.6 goals allowed per game. On the flip side, Inter is riding a wave of success with a three-match winning streak, showcasing a robust attacking form. Victories against Bologna, Atalanta, and Genoa have seen them score consistently, averaging 1.6 goals per game recently. Inter's defensive solidity is underscored by their three clean sheets in the last five matches, alongside a strong expected goals metric of 1.788. This combination of attacking prowess and defensive stability positions them as firm favorites in this encounter.

Final Prediction

Inter's position at the top of the league and their recent form give them a significant edge over Parma. The Nerazzurri's ability to both score and defend effectively makes them a formidable opponent. A key factor to watch in this match will be Inter's ability to capitalize on Parma's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially dictating the game's outcome. Football fans can look forward to seeing if Inter can maintain their dominant form or if Parma can spring a surprise at home.