Serie A 2025-2026: Parma vs Lazio Prediction
Parma
Home Team
28%
VS
Lazio
Away Team
51%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Inter | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 30 |
| 4 | Roma | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Bologna | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Lazio | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 11 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Torino | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Pisa | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Verona | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Parma
- Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 3)
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.69
# Clean Sheets:
1
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.57
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Lazio is the favored team to win the upcoming clash against Parma, with a 51.0% probability of securing victory. The game is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability of exceeding this mark. In the Serie A standings, Lazio currently sits in 10th place, while Parma is positioned at 15th, highlighting a slightly more favorable season for Lazio so far.
Match Analysis
In their recent performances, Parma has shown a mixed bag of results. They registered two away victories against Pisa and Verona, but suffered a home defeat to Udinese. Their scoring average in the last five games stands at 0.6 goals, with a slightly higher expected goals rate of 1.154. However, they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, which could pose a challenge against a more defensively sound Lazio.
Lazio, on the other hand, has had a similarly mixed run, with a draw against Bologna, a narrow loss to league leaders Milan, and a comfortable win over Lecce. Lazio's defense has been their stronger suit, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches, and maintaining two clean sheets. Their expected goals scored is slightly higher than Parma's at 1.174, suggesting potential for offensive breakthroughs.
Final Prediction
Lazio seems to have an edge over Parma due to their solid defensive performances and the ability to maintain clean sheets. The key factor to watch during this match will be whether Lazio can capitalize on their defensive stability to suppress Parma's attack and convert their expected goal opportunities into actual goals. This defensive prowess may well tip the balance in Lazio's favor in what is anticipated to be a closely contested match.