Serie A 2025-2026: Pisa vs Lazio Prediction

Pisa

Home Team
17%
VS

Lazio

Away Team
68%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 8 6 0 2 15 8 7 18
2 Roma 8 6 0 2 8 3 5 18
3 Milan 8 5 2 1 13 6 7 17
4 Inter 8 5 0 3 19 11 8 15
5 Bologna 8 4 2 2 13 7 6 14
6 Como 8 3 4 1 9 5 4 13
7 Atalanta 8 2 6 0 12 6 6 12
8 Juventus 8 3 3 2 9 8 1 12
9 Udinese 8 3 3 2 10 12 -2 12
10 Lazio 8 3 2 3 11 7 4 11
11 Cremonese 8 2 5 1 9 10 -1 11
12 Torino 8 3 2 3 8 14 -6 11
13 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 8 9 -1 10
14 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
15 Parma 8 1 4 3 3 7 -4 7
16 Lecce 8 1 3 4 7 13 -6 6
17 Verona 8 0 5 3 4 11 -7 5
18 Fiorentina 8 0 4 4 7 12 -5 4
19 Pisa 8 0 4 4 5 12 -7 4
20 Genoa 8 0 3 5 4 11 -7 3

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Pisa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.29
# Clean Sheets: 2

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.59
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Pisa and Lazio is tipped in favor of Lazio, with a 68.0% probability of an away win. Pisa's chances to secure a victory stand at a mere 17.0%, while the likelihood of a draw is pegged at 15.0%. The prediction also leans towards a game with under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest. Currently, Lazio sits in 10th place in Serie A with 11 points, while Pisa languishes in 19th position with just 4 points.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Pisa has struggled to find form, highlighted by a disappointing run with two draws and a loss. Their latest performances include a promising 2-2 draw against Milan, a goalless stalemate with Verona at home, and a heavy 4-0 defeat away to Bologna. Pisa's goal-scoring woes are evident with an average of 0.0 goals per game over the last five matches. Despite this, their defense has shown resilience, managing two clean sheets in the same period. Lazio, on the other hand, has been more consistent. They recorded a narrow 1-0 victory over Juventus, a goalless draw with Atalanta, and an exciting 3-3 draw against Torino. Lazio's attacking capabilities seem stronger, with an average of 0.75 goals scored per game recently. Their defense has also proven robust, maintaining three clean sheets in the last five matches. The expected goals metrics show Lazio has a slightly higher offensive threat with 1.205 expected goals per game compared to Pisa’s 0.7725.

Final Prediction

Lazio's edge in this match is underscored by their solid recent performances and superior league standing. Their ability to keep clean sheets and a marginally better scoring rate makes them the favorites. A key factor to watch during the game will be Lazio's defense, which could be crucial in maintaining their dominance against a Pisa side struggling to find the net.