Serie A 2025-2026: Roma vs Genoa Prediction
Roma
Home Team
75%
VS
Genoa
Away Team
11%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Milan | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 32 |
| 3 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 31 |
| 4 | Roma | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Juventus | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Bologna | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Como | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Lazio | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 12 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Lecce | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 15 |
| 16 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Roma
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 3 - 1)
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.01
# Clean Sheets:
1
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.58
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Roma is predicted to secure a victory against Genoa with a 75.0% probability, highlighting their strong home advantage. With an estimated 51.0% chance of the match having over 2.5 goals, fans can expect an attacking display. Roma currently sits in 4th place in Serie A, while Genoa is struggling at 17th, just above the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
Roma's recent form has been inconsistent, with two losses in their last three matches, including a narrow defeat to Juventus and a disappointing loss against Cagliari. However, they showed resilience with a solid win over Como at home. Their defensive solidity is notable, having conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches. Despite this, their goal-scoring has been modest, averaging 1.0 goals, though their expected goals (xG) suggest they could improve offensively.
Genoa, on the other hand, has faced a tough period, losing two of their last three games against top teams like Atalanta and Inter. They managed a crucial away victory against Udinese, scoring twice. Offensively, Genoa has averaged 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, matching their goals conceded. However, their lack of clean sheets indicates vulnerabilities in their defense, which Roma might exploit.
Final Prediction
Roma's edge comes from their superior league standing and home advantage, coupled with Genoa's defensive frailties. The key factor to watch will be Roma's ability to convert their opportunities, as their expected goals suggest potential for more scoring. With Genoa struggling defensively, Roma's attacking prowess could be decisive in this encounter.