Serie A 2024-2025: Roma vs Monza Prediction
Roma
Home Team
95%
VS
Monza
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
41%
Under 2.5:
59%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Inter | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 58 | 24 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
| 4 | Juventus | 25 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 46 |
| 5 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Fiorentina | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 42 |
| 7 | Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
| 8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
| 9 | Roma | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 37 |
| 10 | Udinese | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Genoa | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Como | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 | Lecce | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Empoli | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 21 |
| 18 | Parma | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 20 |
| 19 | Venezia | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 16 |
| 20 | Monza | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 14 |
Recent Trends
Roma
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 3 - 1)
Monza
- Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 5)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.73
# Clean Sheets:
2
Monza
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.58
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Roma and Monza heavily favors the home team, Roma, with a staggering 95% probability of victory. The likelihood of Monza achieving a win stands at a mere 2%, while a draw is also unlikely, at 3%. As for the goal count, the match is predicted to yield under 2.5 goals. Currently, Roma sits in 9th place in Serie A, while Monza languishes at the bottom of the table, occupying the 20th spot.
Match Analysis
Roma enters the match on a positive note, having secured two recent away wins against Parma and Venezia, both with 1-0 scorelines, and a commendable draw against league leaders Napoli at home. This run highlights their defensive solidity, as they have conceded just one goal in their last three outings. Roma's advanced metrics support this, as they average 3.0 goals scored and just 0.6 goals conceded in their last five matches. Furthermore, their expected goals metric (2.266 for and 0.728 against) indicates their capability to create and limit chances effectively.
Monza, in stark contrast, struggles significantly, with no wins in their last three games. A goalless draw against Lecce was sandwiched between heavy losses to Lazio and Verona. Monza's recent form is plagued by defensive frailties, as they concede an average of 2.8 goals per game, while only managing to score 0.8. Their expected goals statistics paint a similar picture, with 0.92 scored and a worrying 2.578 conceded on average, highlighting the uphill battle they face in securing points.
Final Prediction
Roma's combination of recent form, defensive strength, and superior league position underscores their dominance in this matchup. Monza's porous defense and ineffective attack present a stark contrast, making it difficult for them to mount a challenge. Key to watch will be Roma's ability to capitalize on Monza's defensive lapses, potentially setting the stage for a comfortable home victory.