Serie A 2025-2026: Roma vs Napoli Prediction
Roma
Home Team
59%
VS
Napoli
Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | Inter | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Bologna | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 24 |
| 6 | Como | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Juventus | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Lazio | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Udinese | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Pisa | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Genoa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Roma
- Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 0)
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.05
# Clean Sheets:
2
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.38
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Roma and Napoli sees the home side with a significant edge, holding a 59.0% probability of victory. Roma, currently sitting at the top of the Serie A standings, is expected to triumph over third-placed Napoli. The goal tally is predicted to fall under 2.5, with a 48.0% probability, indicating a potentially tight contest.
Match Analysis
Roma enters this fixture displaying a solid run of form, having secured two wins in their last three outings. Victories over Cremonese and Udinese have bolstered their position at the top, despite a narrow 1-0 loss to Milan. Defensively, Roma has been resolute, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals in their last five matches, with two clean sheets to their name.
On the other hand, Napoli's recent performances have been somewhat inconsistent. While they managed an impressive 3-1 victory against Atalanta, they stumbled away to Bologna and were held to a goalless draw by Como. Napoli's defensive frailties are evident, as they have allowed an average of 1.2 goals per match over their last five games, matching their average goals scored in the same period. Despite this, their expected goals (xG) of 1.726 indicate Napoli's potential to create scoring opportunities.
Final Prediction
Roma's superior defensive record and consistent form provide them with a distinct advantage in this matchup. Their ability to limit opponents' scoring chances could be pivotal against a Napoli side that struggles to find consistency. A key factor to watch will be how Napoli navigates Roma's defensive setup, especially given their higher expected goals. This encounter promises to be a tactical battle where Roma's defensive prowess might just tip the scales in their favor.