Serie A 2025-2026: Roma vs Parma Prediction
Roma
Home Team
85%
VS
Parma
Away Team
6%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
42%
Under 2.5:
58%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Roma | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Milan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Como | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Udinese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Torino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 19 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Roma
- Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 0)
Parma
- Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.49
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.89
# Clean Sheets:
3
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.73
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Roma and Parma is heavily tilted in favor of the home team. With an 85% probability, Roma is expected to secure a victory. The likelihood of the match yielding fewer than 2.5 goals is strong, standing at 42%. Roma is currently tied for the top spot in Serie A with Napoli, while Parma finds itself struggling near the relegation zone in 15th place.
Match Analysis
Roma comes into this match with a mixed bag of results from their last three games. They've managed two victories, including a recent away win over Fiorentina, and a narrow defeat against Inter at home. Despite scoring just 0.75 goals per game over their last five matches, Roma's defense has been resilient, conceding only 0.5 goals on average and securing three clean sheets. Their expected goals metrics (1.49 scored and 0.89 conceded) suggest a team that is performing solidly if not spectacularly.
Parma, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net, failing to score in their last three outings. They come off consecutive goalless draws against Como and Genoa, and a home loss to Lecce. Their goal-scoring woes are evident, with an average of 0.0 goals per game in their last five matches. Parma's defense, while better than their attack, still concedes an average of 1.0 goals per game, and their expected goals conceded stat of 1.725 indicates potential vulnerabilities.
Final Prediction
Roma's defensive solidity and Parma's offensive struggles provide a clear edge for the home team in this encounter. Expect Roma to capitalize on their superior form and defensive organization to secure the win. A key aspect to watch will be whether Parma can break their goal drought, but with Roma's current defensive form, that might be a tall order.