Serie A 2025-2026: Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction
Roma
Home Team
85%
VS
Sassuolo
Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Milan | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Napoli | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 38 |
| 4 | Juventus | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Roma | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Como | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 28 |
| 8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Lazio | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 25 |
| 10 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 23 |
| 12 | Torino | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Lecce | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Verona | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 13 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 13 |
| 20 | Pisa | 19 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Roma
- Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 0)
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.92
# Clean Sheets:
2
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.21
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Roma is predicted to emerge victorious in their upcoming match against Sassuolo, with a commanding 85.0% probability of winning. Sassuolo, positioned 11th in Serie A, faces a daunting challenge against 5th-placed Roma. The likelihood of the match featuring under 2.5 goals is 47.0%, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair.
Match Analysis
In their recent form, Roma has shown resilience with two wins out of their last three matches. Their 2-0 away victory against Lecce and a commanding 3-1 home win over Genoa underscore their attacking prowess. However, their away defeat to Atalanta highlights potential vulnerabilities. Roma's solid defense is evident from averaging only 0.6 goals conceded in their last five games, coupled with two clean sheets.
Sassuolo, meanwhile, has been struggling to find winning form. Their recent encounters resulted in a 3-0 home loss to Juventus and two consecutive 1-1 draws against Parma and Bologna. Despite scoring an average of 1.6 goals over their last five outings, Sassuolo has been unable to maintain defensive solidity, conceding 1.2 goals on average. Their lack of clean sheets in recent games is a concern as they prepare to face a strong Roma side.
Final Prediction
Roma's edge in this encounter stems from their superior recent form and defensive solidity, which gives them a significant advantage over Sassuolo. With Roma's ability to score and maintain a strong defensive line, they are well-positioned to capitalize on Sassuolo's defensive frailties. A key factor to watch during the game will be Roma's ability to control the tempo and assert their dominance early on.