Serie A 2025-2026: Roma vs Udinese Prediction
Roma
Home Team
82%
VS
Udinese
Away Team
8%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Bologna | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Como | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Lazio | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Pisa | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Verona | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
Recent Trends
Roma
- Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
Udinese
- Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.43
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.95
# Clean Sheets:
1
Udinese
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.96
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Roma and Udinese sees Roma as the strong favorite with an 82.0% probability of claiming victory. The likelihood of Udinese pulling off an upset stands at a mere 8.0%, while the chance of a draw is 10.0%. Positioned fourth in the Serie A standings, Roma is eyeing a spot in the Champions League, whereas Udinese, currently in ninth, will be looking to climb the table. The match is predicted to yield under 2.5 goals, with a 46.0% probability, suggesting a potentially tight affair.
Match Analysis
Roma comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They suffered a narrow defeat against Milan but bounced back with victories over Parma and Sassuolo. A key trend for Roma is their defensive solidity, having conceded only 0.6 goals on average in the last five games, with one clean sheet. In terms of expected goals, they have been generating 1.426 expected goals per match, indicating a reasonable attacking threat despite an actual average of 1.0 goals scored.
Udinese, on the other hand, have shown inconsistent form. They secured wins against Atalanta and Lecce but were convincingly beaten by Juventus. Udinese's defensive frailties are evident as they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, with their expected goals conceded at a high 1.96. Offensively, they manage to score 1.2 goals per game on average, slightly above their expected goals figure of 1.136, which suggests they've been somewhat clinical in front of goal.
Final Prediction
Roma's strong defensive record and higher league standing give them the edge over Udinese. The key to Roma's likely success may lie in their ability to maintain defensive discipline while capitalizing on Udinese's vulnerability at the back. Fans should watch out for Roma's ability to control the game and minimize Udinese's attacking opportunities, which could prove decisive in securing the anticipated home victory.