Serie A 2025-2026: Sassuolo vs Genoa Prediction - 3 Nov 2025
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Sassuolo
Home Team
38%
VS
Genoa
Away Team
37%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napoli | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Roma | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Inter | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Bologna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Cremonese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Atalanta | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 10 | Udinese | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Torino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Lecce | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Pisa | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Genoa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.47
# Clean Sheets:
2
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.76
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Sassuolo and Genoa is poised to be closely contested, with Sassuolo slightly favored to win at a probability of 38.0%. The chance of a Genoa victory stands at 37.0%, while a draw has a 25.0% likelihood. Sassuolo sits at 13th in the Serie A standings with 10 points, while Genoa is struggling at the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 3 points. The game is predicted to have fewer than 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Sassuolo's recent performances have been a mix of results, showcasing a win against Verona, a draw with Lecce, and a narrow loss to Roma. Their defense has shown resilience, managing two clean sheets in their last three games. Sassuolo has averaged 1.0 goal per game over the last five matches, with a similar average in goals conceded, suggesting a balanced, albeit modest, attacking and defensive output.
Genoa, on the other hand, is in a dire situation, having failed to secure a win in their last three outings. Their recent performances include losses to Cremonese and Torino, and a goalless draw against Parma. Despite scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game in their last five matches, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.75 goals on average. Genoa's expected goals metrics indicate potential in their attacking play, but their defensive frailties have been a significant drawback.
Final Prediction
Sassuolo holds a slight edge in this matchup, largely due to their better standing in the league and more stable recent performances. Their ability to keep clean sheets in two of their last three games could be crucial against a Genoa side struggling to find form. A key factor to watch will be Sassuolo's defense, which may play a pivotal role in securing a positive result.
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