Serie A 2025-2026: Sassuolo vs Juventus Prediction

Sassuolo

Home Team
8%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
84%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 13 0 4 38 15 23 39
2 Milan 17 11 5 1 28 13 15 38
3 Napoli 17 12 1 4 26 13 13 37
4 Juventus 18 9 6 3 24 16 8 33
5 Roma 18 11 0 7 20 12 8 33
6 Como 17 8 6 3 23 12 11 30
7 Bologna 17 7 5 5 25 17 8 26
8 Atalanta 18 6 7 5 21 19 2 25
9 Lazio 18 6 6 6 18 14 4 24
10 Sassuolo 18 6 5 7 23 22 1 23
11 Torino 18 6 5 7 20 28 -8 23
12 Udinese 18 6 4 8 18 29 -11 22
13 Cremonese 18 5 6 7 18 21 -3 21
14 Parma 17 4 6 7 12 19 -7 18
15 Cagliari 18 4 6 8 19 25 -6 18
16 Lecce 17 4 5 8 12 23 -11 17
17 Genoa 18 3 6 9 18 28 -10 15
18 Verona 17 2 6 9 13 28 -15 12
19 Fiorentina 18 2 6 10 18 28 -10 12
20 Pisa 18 1 9 8 13 25 -12 12

Recent Trends

Sassuolo ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 3 - 1)

Juventus ⚪ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Roma (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Sassuolo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 0

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.01
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Juventus is heavily favored to secure a victory against Sassuolo with an 84.0% probability, reflecting their superior form and league position. Sassuolo, currently ranked 10th in Serie A, faces a daunting task against 4th-placed Juventus. The game is predicted to result in under 2.5 goals, with a probability of 46.0%, suggesting a potentially tight contest despite Juventus's favoritism.

Match Analysis

Sassuolo's recent form has been patchy, with two draws and a loss in their last three matches. They managed to secure a point against both Parma and Bologna, although both games ended 1-1. Their recent home performance against Torino resulted in a 0-1 loss, indicating a struggle to capitalize on home advantage. Sassuolo's advanced metrics reveal an average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded in their last five games, with no clean sheets, emphasizing their defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Juventus comes into this game in better form, with two wins and a draw in their last three encounters. They drew 1-1 against Lecce but secured victories over Pisa and Roma, scoring twice in each game. Juventus's recent performances are underlined by their defensive solidity, as evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their average goals conceded stands at 0.8 per game, compared to Sassuolo's 1.4, which could be a decisive factor in the upcoming match.

Final Prediction

Juventus's strong defensive record and recent form give them a significant edge over Sassuolo. The key factor to watch will be Juventus's ability to maintain their defensive discipline, which could stifle Sassuolo's attacking efforts. With Juventus's superior league standing and recent performances, they are well-positioned to secure all three points in this matchup.